Date: 15th March 2009 at 11:03am
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We take a look at the Bradford City run-in and consider which of the three likely outcomes are going to happen: automatic promotion, the playoff lottery or another season in League Two.

Game 38:
Bournemouth (A)
The Cherries are enjoying a wonderful period of form. Having won 4 of their last 6 they are overhauled Grimsby and Chester to reach safety and overcome their -17 points deduction. They haven’t lost at home in 6 games, 4 of those they haven’t conceded and after back to back wins will be full of confidence. With our away form I can’t see us denting their form.
Home win – no points (58)

Game 39
Port Vale (H)
The Valiants couldn’t be more mid table and their recent form has been anything but consistent. A good 3-1 win over Darlington yesterday belies a fairly mediocre away record. City are good at home. And we will have to win.
Home win – three points (61)

Game 40
Chester City (A)
Chester are in freefall, and find themselves in the relegation zone. That’s normally all that’s needed for the Bantams to give that club a boost and get some points on the board. However, we have been able to win on the road before and it may be that the Deva provides us with a good opportunity to do so.
Away win – three points (64)

Game 41
Brentford (H)
A hopefully morale boosting victory at Chester will be needed before we play host to the Bees. The late, late, winning goal at Griffin Park falls into the same category as a number of opportunities when Stuart McCall’s men have dropped points that looked secure. Brentford are riding high and full of confidence, of course in three games time that could all change but I think this will be an entertaining draw.
Score draw – 1 point (65)

Game 42
Morecambe (A)
Sammy McIlroy’s men will try to make Good Friday a miserable day for the Bantams. We lost on our last trip to Morecambe bay and they will be keen to right the wrongs of our 4-0 victory earlier this season, a scoreline that definitely did not do justice to the performance of the visitors that day. At the moment they’re on an 11 game unbeaten run. Clearly a lot can change in 5 games but three points on our travels will be difficult.
Goalless draw – 1 point (66)

Game 43
Lincoln City (H)
Peter Jackson’s men are pretty inconsistent. Beat Dagenham & Redbridge comfortably on the road, then get hammered by Grimsby before beating Wycombe. We will have to hope that the Imps travel like they did to Blundell Park. Our home form, the emotion of the game and the frisson of the Jackson-McCall fixture could hopefully see us get a potentially crucial victory
Home win – 3 points (69)

Game 44
Dagenham & Red (A)
This is the kind of game we would need to win, but I think we’re unlikely to do so as the Daggers may still harbour thoughts of promotion themselves. City tend to lose 6 pointers, but I think we’ll grind out a point.
Score draw – 1 point (70)

Game 45
Rotherham (H)
The Millers will want revenge. It’s difficult to talk about form as by this point in the season everything will have changed. Even though Valley Parade is a fortress I think Rotherham will be only the second team to win on our home patch.
Away win – 0 points (70)

Game 46
Chesterfield (A)
Which leaves us with the final game of the season potentially meaning a considerable amount. I’ve suggested that we will take 12 points from 8 games, it’s a 1.5 points average which is less than we have managed so far this season. It’s also potentially not enough to keep us up with a promotion pack that is already mostly 3 points ahead of us. The last time we won on the last day of the season it was quite important, hopefully we can actually do the same this season. However, I think a draw is the best we can hope for.
Score draw – 1 point (71)

I hate to be pessimistic but on the basis of our run in automatic promotion is not going to happen and the playoffs are slim. This points haul would see us level with Brentford on their current tally. Predicting results based on form suggests it would leave us 8th, well off the pace of the top 6. However, it may be that an extra one or two points here or there can see us squeak 7th. I don’t think it’s going to be better than that…

How important has the last week been? Potentially crippling to our hopes of leaving League Two. And what’s worse, the team didn’t look like they really cared about it yesterday. If you were one of the 523 who travelled to Exeter let us know what you think about our prospects for even managing 1.5 points per game for the rest of the season. Even if you didn’t go, what do you think of my projections? Maybe you think I’m being too negative but come May we’ll have taken somewhere between 0 and 27 points. Win them all and we’d go up automatically.

I believed 15 points to be the minimum we needed from our final ten games. We’ve had a match, now it’s 15 points from 9. Can we do it?